Tell City
Boys - Girls
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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State Rank #18
Brown County Semi-State Rank #3
Crawford County Regional Rank #1
Jasper Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 14th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.7%
Top 10 at State Finals 13.3%
Advance to State Finals 98.8%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating Kentucky-Indiana Border Clash THSB State Preview Brown County Eagle Classic Lincoln Trail Invitational Pocket Athletic Conference Jasper Sectional Crawford County Regional Brown County Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/23 9/3 9/10 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22 10/29
Team Rating 342 274 329 296 324 433 487 400 327 311
Team Adjusted Rating 274 329 296 324 433 487 400 327 311
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Kentucky-Indiana Border Clash THSB State Preview Brown County Eagle Classic Lincoln Trail Invitational Pocket Athletic Conference Jasper Sectional Crawford County Regional Brown County Semi-State State Finals
52  Leo Simpson 11 16:21 16:22 16:19 16:15 16:15 16:12 17:09 16:32 16:12 16:20
68  Thomas Simpson 11 16:25 16:22 16:27 16:36 16:40 16:57 17:05 16:46 16:32 16:18
105  Nate Kaiser 10 16:37 16:21 16:40 16:25 16:39 16:51 16:51 16:51 16:48 16:30
219  Seth Vaquero 12 17:02 16:36 16:45 16:46 16:44 17:52 17:40 17:18 16:52 17:00
430  Elliot Reed 10 17:30 17:59 17:50 18:23 17:27 17:32 17:24 17:25 17:22 17:23
478  Chase Beckort 10 17:35 17:15 17:34 17:17 17:24 17:42 17:38 17:34 17:41 17:52
815  Will Simpson 10 18:04 18:22 18:45 18:27 18:34 18:40 18:29 18:11 18:09 17:56




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 98.8% 15.2 385 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.4 2.3 3.6 4.6 5.9 7.2 8.3 9.3 8.7 8.6 7.5 7.3 6.2 5.5 4.8 3.4 2.1 0.9
Semi-State 100% 2.7 126 18.0 28.1 33.3 12.2 5.0 2.3 0.8 0.3 0.1
Regionals 100% 1.1 46 92.0 8.0 0.0
Sectionals 100% 1.0 31 100.0 0.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Leo Simpson 99.0% 56.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.9 0.8 19.0% 85.4%
Thomas Simpson 98.9% 67.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.5 11.6% 76.1%
Nate Kaiser 98.8% 96.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 40.6%
Seth Vaquero 98.8% 144.4 0.0% 1.1%
Elliot Reed 98.8% 181.0 0.0% 0.0%
Chase Beckort 98.8% 185.0 0.0% 0.0%
Will Simpson 98.8% 202.1 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Leo Simpson 100% 9.6 0.2 0.7 2.1 4.7 6.2 7.6 8.1 7.9 8.5 7.0 6.9 6.0 4.9 4.5 4.0 3.5 3.6 2.4 2.5 2.0 1.3 1.2 0.8 0.7 0.6 100.0%
Thomas Simpson 100% 12.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.9 3.7 4.5 5.5 6.4 6.5 6.6 6.7 6.9 6.0 5.5 5.4 4.9 4.0 3.9 3.6 2.7 2.5 2.0 1.6 1.6 1.3 100.0%
Nate Kaiser 100% 20.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.4 1.8 2.4 2.7 3.2 3.5 4.0 4.2 4.7 4.9 5.0 5.2 5.0 4.7 4.6 4.5 4.4 4.0 100.0%
Seth Vaquero 100% 43.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 1.0 1.0 99.6%
Elliot Reed 100% 88.6 69.3%
Chase Beckort 100% 96.0 57.7%
Will Simpson 100% 134.9 2.8%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Leo Simpson 100% 4.0 0.3 12.3 17.3 19.7 18.0 15.4 10.7 5.0 1.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Thomas Simpson 100% 5.1 0.2 5.3 10.7 14.5 17.7 18.3 17.7 11.0 3.6 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Nate Kaiser 100% 7.6 0.2 0.7 2.3 4.8 9.8 17.2 25.0 28.5 7.4 2.5 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Seth Vaquero 100% 11.6 0.1 0.2 0.8 4.0 18.6 17.6 14.0 12.0 9.4 7.2 5.2 4.0 2.6 1.6 1.2 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Elliot Reed 100% 22.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.5 2.5 3.8 4.5 5.2 6.7 7.1 7.9 8.6 8.4 7.8 6.6 100.0%
Chase Beckort 100% 24.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.3 1.8 2.3 3.6 4.3 5.4 6.4 7.4 7.6 8.3 7.9 100.0%
Will Simpson 100% 40.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Leo Simpson 2.4 14.4 24.2 25.9 22.3 11.2 1.9 0.1
Thomas Simpson 3.3 6.3 14.4 21.9 26.7 24.2 6.4 0.2
Nate Kaiser 5.2 0.3 1.0 4.1 10.6 24.6 54.5 4.7 0.3 0.0
Seth Vaquero 7.0 0.0 0.2 2.1 49.3 35.0 9.5 2.6 1.0 0.2 0.0
Elliot Reed 11.0 0.0 2.5 11.7 18.8 17.6 17.4 14.4 10.0 4.4 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Chase Beckort 11.9 0.0 0.9 5.4 11.9 15.7 17.2 18.0 15.9 8.5 3.4 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0
Will Simpson 18.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 2.9 7.6 11.4 13.1 12.1 12.4 9.9 9.3 7.1 5.7 4.2 2.2